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The 100K Portfolio - SystemicCapital.com

What it trades: Mostly Stocks; (some options) Strategies: Buy undervalue, Sell overvalue, Technical analysis, Market timing

Hypothetical Monthly Results

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2009                                                                      (0.5%)+2.3%
2010(1.2%)+2.7%+1.9%(0.3%)(10.4%)  -    -    -    -                    

 
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Subscription Terms

One-day free trial, then $9.95 per month (Details)

There is a free trial period of 1 days before you are charged. You may cancel at any time before this (we send you an email at least a day before, to remind you, so there are no surprises.)

Then, after the trial, you will be charged $9.95 per month. (That is, we will charge you every 30 days - not when the month name on the calendar changes. So it's okay to sign up towards the end of a calendar month. You'll still get a full 30 days.)



Strategy Description 


The purpose of The 100K Portfolio is to substantially outperform the S&P 500 index. The 100K Portfolio trades in ETFs, stocks and options, long and short.
read more...

- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that text above is an accurate Strategy Description. (Contact System Developer)




Recently Closed Trades

Details

System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.

Opened ET B/S # Symbol   Price Closed Price Risk P/L
5/3/10 14:26 BUY 6,176 NNVC NANOVIRICIDES INC 2.59 5/10 9:31 2.23 Normal ($2,223)
4/29/10 9:30 BUY 547 VZ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS 29.27 5/6 14:29 28.29 Low ($536)
1/11/10 9:36 BUY 1,000 PTY PIMCO CORPORATE OPPTY FD 16.20 5/5 9:37 16.14 Low ($58)
4/5/10 9:30 BUY 986 TNDM NEUTRAL TANDEM INC 16.34 5/5 9:35 14.48 Low ($1,834)
4/30/10 9:30 BUY 457 DRC DRESSER-RAND GROUP INC 35.04 5/5 9:32 34.06 Low ($448)
4/23/10 13:56 BUY 705 MYGN MYRIAD GENETICS INC 22.70 5/5 9:30 18.00 Low ($3,314)
3/3/10 10:37 BUY 33 GOOG GOOGLE INC A 559.54 5/4 9:37 526.68 Low ($1,084)
4/29/10 9:30 BUY 101 GS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 159.58 4/30 10:01 147.79 Low ($1,191)
4/22/10 9:52 BUY 338 ESV ENSCO INTERNATIONAL ADR 49.56 4/29 11:24 49.00 Low ($189)
4/20/10 9:30 BUY 240 MON MONSANTO CO 67.11 4/27 12:11 63.73 Low ($811)
3/17/10 9:33 BUY 498 DRC DRESSER-RAND GROUP INC 32.37 4/27 9:30 34.18 Low $900
4/5/10 10:44 BUY 787 TSRA TESSERA TECHNOLOGIES 20.80 4/27 9:30 21.81 Low $795
4/7/10 11:08 BUY 140 ESI ITT EDUCATIONAL SERVICES 115.34 4/26 9:30 108.00 Low ($1,028)
2/11/10 9:30 BUY 1,255 CWCO CONSOLIDATED WATER 13.70 4/21 15:10 13.97 Low $340
4/1/10 9:33 BUY 349 GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC 45.77 4/21 9:30 41.95 Low ($1,333)

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Statistics

Analytics  
System has been audited since11/7/2009 (10 months ago)
Trades167
# Profitable88 (52.7%)
# months tracked11
Profitable months3 (27.3%)
Avg trade duration17.6 days
Annual return (compounded)-7.2%
Average win$178
Average loss$280
Profit factor0.7:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)16.31%
drawdown periodApril 15, 2010 to May 07, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P0.581
Sharpe ratio-0.621
C2Realism Factor 87%
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss62.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.26
Average P/L per unit traded$1.42
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account$365


System Description

The purpose of The 100K Portfolio is to substantially outperform the S&P 500 index.

The 100K Portfolio trades in ETFs, stocks and options, long and short.

Approximately 30% of The 100K Portfolio consists of an actively rebalanced equal-weight of the 9 sector SPDRs. The rest of The 100K Portfolio is a select mix of company stocks, REITs, currency ETFs, government & corporate bond ETFs, emerging market & commodity ETFs.

Various option strategies are used in The 100K Portfolio.

Economic assumptions used in The 100K Portfolio are largely based on the economic projections of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, an independent research firm not associated with SystemicCapital.com.

A proprietary market model is used to determine market trends. Buy and sell decisions are ultimately discretionary, as not all model components have been quantified.

The 100K Portfolio system is intended for active traders. All trades are placed the day before the market opens (typically, within a couple hours after the previous market close). No trades are initiated during the day. All trades are open overnight.

Trades are intended to last several days to several weeks or longer.
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SystemicCapital.com starts with a vision of the future.

From this vision, central themes are developed. The themes represent a powerful market tide that you want working with you.

For the tradable future, economic projections are taken largely from the views of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, which has a long record of being in front of the curve.

THEMES:

Emerging Markets

Hundreds of millions of people are now “coming on line”, economically speaking, in China, India, Brazil and other countries. This represents a massive expansion of our economic system over the next few years. This theme is the most powerful, driving many of the others.

Energy

Oil production has peaked, and as started a slow decline. As the current economic recover takes hold, demand will drive the search for additional sources of energy.

Natural gas will play a central role in the future of US energy supplies. Oil, coal, nuclear, wind, solar and others will also be an important part of the supply equation. There will be enough demand for all of them.

Commodities

Hundreds of millions of people will want to buy things they couldn’t buy before. They will want to eat food they couldn’t afford before. These demand pressures will lead to an increase in commodity prices, despite a likely strengthening of the USD.

Wireless Infrastructure

Smart phones and other wireless devices will revolutionize the way people interact with the Internet and each other. Expect and insatiable demand for wireless data and the companies that play some part in providing this service.

Biotech

Now that erectile dysfunction is under control, expect a new era of anti-cancer and anti-viral drugs that will change humanity and the economics of healthcare.

US Real Estate

The real estate market has already bottomed or is close to bottoming in the US. After such a steep historical decline, this market will slowly trend up for years to come. Investors could outperform with cherry-picked REITs.

Water Management

Water management issues, including purification and agricultural availability, will be a growing problem. Expect large amounts of capital to flow into this area in an attempt to find solutions, or at least to profit from the attempt to find solutions.

Dividend Plays

Market conditions are likely to remain choppy in 2010, as stimulus measures decrease and market participants attempt to find fair value. Dividend paying stocks should play in important role in smoothing your returns.

Portfolio Balance

A balanced portfolio helps to spread risk, despite a high asset class correlation in the past couple years. This means having positions in growth & value, emerging & developed, commodities & tech, REITs, bond & currency funds.

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description.